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Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If two families have two children each, then the conditional probability that all children are girls given that at least two are girls is :

JEE · Math · previous-year question

  1. A.$${1 \over {10}}$$
  2. B.$${1 \over {17}}$$
  3. C.$${1 \over {11}}$$correct
  4. D.$${1 \over {12}}$$

Answer

C. $${1 \over {11}}$$

Explanation

A = At least two girls B = All girls $$P\left( {{B \over A}} \right) = {{P\left( {B \cap A} \right)} \over {P\left( A \right)}}$$ $$ \Rightarrow {{P(B)} \over {P(A)}} = {{{{\left( {{1 \over 4}} \right)}^2}} \over {1 - {}^4{C_0}{{\left( {{1 \over 2}} \right)}^4} - {}^4{C_1}{{\left( {{1 \over 2}} \right)}^4}}}$$ $$ \Rightarrow {1 \over {16 - 1 - 4}} = {1 \over {11}}$$

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